Valero Energy

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: Our 12-month target of $145, down $17, reflects a 6.1x multiple of projected 2024 operating cash flows, above VLO’s historical forward average. We reduce our 2023 EPS estimate by $0.35 to $25.65 and raise 2024’s by $1.26 to $16.23. Q3 EPS of $7.49 vs. $7.14 beat consensus estimates by $0.17. In Q3, adjusted EBITDA fell 6% Y/Y, while increasing ~10% sequentially, missing consensus estimates by ~10%. Refining utilization (95%) remained flat Y/Y and rose one percentage point sequentially, while throughput volumes (3.0 mb/d) rose 1% Y/Y and 2% sequentially. Refining margins ($19.47/b) fell ~9% Y/Y, while growing 25% sequentially due to its North Atlantic refining segment (+55%). We think that VLO should stand to benefit in the long run, given that OPEC+ production cuts are expected to […]