FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call June 21, 2024 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Ali van Nes – Head of Investor Relations Philip Snow – Chief Executive Officer Linda Huber – Chief Financial Officer Helen Shan – Chief Revenue Officer Conference Call Participants Toni Kaplan – Morgan Stanley Alex Kramm – UBS Kelsey Zhu – Autonomous Manav Patnaik – Barclays Faiza Alwy – Deutsche Bank Surinder Thind – Jefferies Ashish Sabadra – RBC George Tong – Goldman Sachs Andrew Nicholas – William Blair Shlomo Rosenbaum – Stifel Craig Huber – Huber Research Partners Russell Quelch – Redburn Heather Balsky – Bank of America Scott Wurtzel – Wolfe Research Operator Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Third Quarter FactSet Earnings Call. At this time all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] […]

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FactSet Expects FY24 Revenue of $2.18B-$2.19B (Prior $2.20B-$2.21B) Vs $2.20B Est, Adj EPS of $16.00-$16.40 (Prior $15.60-$16.00) Vs $15.98 Est

Fiscal 2024 Expectations (with reference to most recent previous guidance): Organic ASV plus professional services is expected to grow in the range of $85 million to $120 million during fiscal 2024 (reduced from $110 million to $150 million). This represents ASV growth of 4.8% at the midpoint. GAAP revenues are expected to be in the range of $2,180 million to $2,190 million (down from $2,200 million to $2,210 million). GAAP operating margin is expected to be in the range of 33.7% to 34.0% (up from 32.5% to 33.0%). Adjusted operating margin is expected to be in the range of 37.0% to 37.5% (up from 36.3% to 36.7%). FactSet’s annual effective tax rate is expected to be in the range of 16.5% to 17.5% (unchanged). GAAP diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $14.55 to $14.95 (up from $13.95 to $14.35). Adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be

FactSet Expects FY24 Revenue of $2.18B-$2.19B (Prior $2.20B-$2.21B) Vs $2.20B Est, Adj EPS of $16.00-$16.40 (Prior $15.60-$16.00) Vs $15.98 Est Read Post »

CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of Factset Research Systems Inc.

We lower our 12-month target price by $15 to $520, 29.2x our FY 25 (Aug.) EPS estimate, higher than the company’s 10-year historical average of 26.8x, given strong growth prospects. We increase our FY 24 adjusted EPS by $0.28 to $16.59 and raise FY 25’s by $0.08 to $17.79. FDS reported May-Q adjusted EPS of $4.37 vs. $3.79 a year ago, $0.47 above consensus on revenue that came in at consensus. Revenue growth (+4% vs. 6% in prior quarter) continued to decelerate as results were once again impacted by consolidation cancellations following UBS’s acquisition of Credit Suisse. Still, despite revenue growth disappointing in recent quarters, we have been encouraged by FDS’s willingness to adapt quickly. FDS has responded with a 10% Y/Y reduction in employee costs and a 14% reduction in real estate. As a result, FDS’s adjusted operating margin expanded a hefty 340 bps to 39.4%. Additionally, encouraging signs

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McDonald’s to Overcome Sales Pressures With Strategic Value Focus, UBS Says

McDonald’s (MCD) faces US sales pressures and value perception concerns but is positioned for improvement in H2 and 2025, UBS said in a note Friday. McDonald’s can improve its pressured value perceptions with a renewed value focus, its scale and marketing advantages, strong core value attributes, and a history of solid performance during periods of heavy discounting, UBS said, adding that the company’s competitive advantages in digital, store remodels, marketing, and operations will continue to drive sales. The investment firm said that franchisee discussions and historical value analysis support its view that “multiple value-focused initiatives,” along with marketing and new product rollouts in the coming quarters should lead to a “positive inflection in US sales trends.” UBS lowered its US same-store sales estimates for the next few quarters due to challenges faced by the quick-service restaurant industry and feedback from franchisees but expects trends to improve sequentially through the year,

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FactSet Research Systems’ Fiscal Q3 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Rise

FactSet Research Systems (FDS) reported fiscal Q3 adjusted earnings Friday of $4.37 per diluted share, up from $3.79 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $3.91. Revenue for the quarter ended May 31 was $552.7 million, compared with $529.8 million a year earlier. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $552.7 million. The company raised its fiscal-year 2024 adjusted earnings guidance to $16.00 to $16.40 per diluted share, from $15.60 to $16.00. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $16.00. The company reduced its revenue outlook for the year to $2.18 billion to $2.19 billion, from $2.20 billion to $2.21 billion. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect $2.20 billion.

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Micron Technology’s Fiscal Q3 Likely to Beat Expectations, Wedbush Says

Micron Technology’s (MU) fiscal Q3 results, slated for release on June 26, will likely beat expectations on higher sales of computer memory, Wedbush Securities said Tuesday in a note to clients. “We believe memory ASP gains were significantly ahead of expectations embedded in [Micron’s] guide,” the firm said. “And, we believe that [Micron] will outperform peers on a healthy mix shift towards eSSDs and DDR5.” Wedbush said it increased its revenue and EPS estimates for Micron’s fiscal Q3 to $6.93 billion and $0.64, above the high end of the company’s previous guide of $6.6 billion, give or take $200 million, and 0.45, plus or minus $0.07, respectively. The brokerage’s updated estimates are also ahead of average consensus of $6.64 billion and $0.50, respectively. The firm lifted Micron’s price target to $170 from $130 and maintained its outperform rating. The company’s shares were up 4% in recent trading.

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CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion On Shares Of Qualcomm Incorporated

We boost our 12-month target to $260 from $200 on a revised P/E of 22.2x our CY 25 EPS view of $11.68, within peers but above historical. We raise our FY 24 (Sep.) EPS to $10.00 from $9.92, lift FY 25’s to $11.28 from $10.91, and set FY 26’s at $12.75. We think QCOM is poised to be a major beneficiary of the ongoing shift of AI toward the device level over the next 12 months, potentially driving significant upside to our estimates. On the smartphone side, we see a better-than-expected iPhone 16 refresh cycle, content gains in future Samsung devices, and improving trends from China providers all supporting higher growth. In addition, we like QCOM’s growing addressable market opportunity, as Windows-based AI PCs gain traction with QCOM’s NPUs (QCOM previously had no share in PCs) and new IoT/industrial uses emerge over time. Not to be forgotten, we are also

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Tesla Stock Is Soaring, but They Won’t Top This Level

Tesla stock is soaring while the Nasdaq Composite naps. Investors looking for a reason should look back to Wednesday. Tesla stock was up 4% in midday trading at $184.28 while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were both up about 0.1%. There aren’t any upgrades or downgrades to focus on. CEO Elon Musk hasn’t tweeted out anything noteworthy. That means the pay package is still the main reason responsible for Monday’s move. This past week, shareholders re-approved Musk’s 2018 pay package, awarding the CEO some 300 million incentive-laden stock options. They had to vote again because a Delaware judge voided the deal in January, citing inadequate disclosures to investors. Musk tweeted the result on Wednesday evening. Tesla disclosed full details Friday about the vote, which showed about 72% support for approving the award. The original proposal in 2018 passed with 73% support. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called the pay vote

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Nvidia Gains. AI Chip Maker Already Tops Analyst Forecasts After Stock Split. — Barrons.com

By Adam Clark Nvidia stock was rising early on Friday to finish its first week following its stock split on a positive note. The chip maker has risen ahead of Wall Street’s consensus targets for the stock. Nvidia shares were up 1.5% at $131.57 in premarket trading. The stock closed up 3.5% on Thursday. Nvidia’s 10-for-1 stock split took effect a week ago and the stock is now ahead of Wall Street’s average price target of $123.35, according to FactSet. Nvidia’s strong rally has seen it outpace analysts’ expectations on multiple occasions during the AI rally. The company’s forward price-to-earnings multiple currently stands at around 43 times. That’s not putting off the bulls. Oppenheimer’s Rick Schafer reiterated a $150 price target on the stock in a research note this week, based on a price-to-earnings multiple of 36 times Nvidia’s forecast earnings in 2026. “We see several structural tailwinds driving sustained

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Nike Likely to Report In-Line Fiscal Q4 Results, Morgan Stanley Says

Nike (NKE) is expected to report in-line results for fiscal Q4 on June 27, according to Morgan Stanley, which models a 1% sales growth for the quarter compared with the Street’s 0.6% increase. “4Q is unlikely to shift the thesis on NKE as questions around L-T growth & profitability remain, though it will give us a first look into the P&L impacts of mgmt.’s recent strategy evolution,” the report said. Morgan Stanley said the market will focus more on Nike’s initial guidance for fiscal Q1 and 2025 as strategic changes from the management seem more likely to materialize in fiscal H1 2025 and beyond results. “We anticipate NKE sets a low FY guidance bar given early-days & evolving strategy initiatives, potentially guiding initial ’25e EPS a touch below the Street,” the report said. Morgan Stanley cut Nike’s price target to $114 from $116 while maintaining its overweight rating.

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Nvidia Set for Over 20% Weighting in SPFR ETF, Apple to Drop Significantly

Nvidia’s (NVDA) weighting in the index that the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) exchange-traded fund follows will likely increase to around 21%, displacing Apple (AAPL) as the second top pick next to Microsoft (MSFT), CNBC reported Monday. Apple’s weighting will drop significantly to 4.5% from about 22% while Nvidia is set to rise sharply from just 6% amid Nvidia shares’ outperformance this year, the report said, citing Matthew Bartolini, head of SPDR Americas Research. The major technology ETF will be forced to acquire more than $10 billion worth of Nvidia shares while cutting back dramatically on Apple, the report said. SPDR does not comment on specific trading strategies around rebalances, the report said.

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TSMC Can Maintain Revenue Strength Through 2026, Citi Says

TSMC should see promising surging demand from cloud and edge AI, which will likely drive revenue growth through 2026, Citi research analyst Laura Chen writes in a note. TSMC should be able to reflect its value to customers and it may adjust prices for products given rising demand, Chen says. Given stronger revenue growth, capex intensity should also continue trending downwards, though TSMC will likely lift the range of capex expected in 2024 to US$30 billion-US$32 billion from US$28 billion-US$32 billion, given escalating advanced node demand, Chen adds. Citi raises its target price on the stock to NT$1,150 from NT$1,030 while reiterating its buy rating. Shares closed 0.1% lower at NT$921.00.

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