Starbucks’ Traffic Headwinds Still in ‘Early Innings,’ Oppenheimer Says

Starbucks’ (SBUX) recent stock underperformance comes as it faces traffic challenges that appear to be in early stages, Oppenheimer said in a note emailed Tuesday. After attempting to identify an upgrade thesis with shares of the coffee chain down 13% since May versus a 9% improvement for the S&P 500, the brokerage said it decided to remain sidelined with a perform rating. An upgrade would require “uncovering a reversal in earnings revisions that is primarily traffic driven,” analysts Brian Bittner and Michael Tamas wrote. Starbucks’ traffic headwinds “appear in early innings and more related to price/value concerns, competition, and operations than perceived,” they said. Oppenheimer lowered its 2024 earnings per share estimate to $3.56 from $3.60 and its 2025 target to $3.99 from $4.12. Those reductions put the analysts’ forecast below the Street’s view of $3.58 and $4.04, respectively, the report showed. The brokerage said Wall Street’s 13% EPS growth […]

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Tesla Set to Report Second Consecutive Quarterly Delivery Decline

Tesla (TSLA) is expected to report a 3.7% decline in deliveries for the June quarter, marking its second consecutive quarterly drop amid tough competition in China and sluggish demand for new affordable models, Reuters reported on Monday. Tesla will deliver 438,019 vehicles from April to June, according to the report, citing an average estimate from 12 analysts polled by LSEG, with Barclays predicting an 11% decline in second-quarter deliveries. Barclays analyst Dan Levy told Reuters “a soft delivery result could turn attention back to the currently challenging fundamental environment for Tesla”. The EV maker, which is expected to announce the results on Tuesday, lost a quarter of its stock value this year, making it one of the worst performers on the S&P 500, Reuters said.

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Nike Entering a ‘Transitional’ Year as It Wrestles Consumer Demand Challenges, Say Analysts

Nike reported fourth-quarter results after market close Thursday Nike Inc. is entering a transitional year, say analysts, after the athletic-wear giant tempered its outlook amid wobbling consumer demand. Speaking on a conference call to discuss Nike’s (NKE) fourth-quarter results Thursday, CEO John Donahoe said said the company saw strong gains in performance products, although this was more than offset by declines in Nike’s lifestyle segment. These declines, he added, had “a pronounced impact” on Nike’s digital results. “These factors when combined with increased macro uncertainty and worsening foreign exchange have caused us to reduce our guidance for FY2025,” he added. “NKE’s 4Q24 print was very choppy, and the challenges facing the company are clearly more impactful than we (or management) expected,” wrote Wedbush analyst Tom Nikic, in a note released Friday. “After the company missed Q4 sales and meaningfully cut FY25 guidance, shares are likely to open meaningfully lower on

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Nike’s Latest Outlook Cut Undermines Management’s Credibility

Nike’s latest guidance cut, its second in about six months, is severely straining management’s credibility, and the potential for changes within the C-suite are only adding more uncertainty to the outlook, Stifel analysts say in a research note. The company is now forecasting a mid-single-digit decline in sales for the fiscal year that started about a month ago, effectively pushing prospects for a growth inflection deeper into 2025 and asking investors to underwrite the success of still-unproven styles amid a risky discretionary spending backdrop through the rest of the year, the analysts say. They’re giving Nike a cut of their own, downgrading the stock to a hold rating. Shares open 18% lower at $77.13.

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Nike’s Disappointing Report Weighs on Shares

Nike is one of the most mentioned companies in the U.S. across all news items in the past 12 hours, according to Factiva data. The sneaker maker reported a drop in quarterly revenue and warned that sales could fall significantly in the current fiscal year, prompting a raft of Wall Street analysts to take a dimmer view of the company’s shares. Nike shares fall 17% to $77.36. Dow Jones & Co. owns Factiva.

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Nike Sell-Off Isn’t Looking Like Buy-the-Dip Moment

Investors probably aren’t looking at Nike’s dramatic sell-off as a “buy the pullback” moment, Wedbush analysts Tom Nikic and Matt Quigley say in a research note. The drop to a multiyear low comes after the shoes and apparel maker reported disappointing fiscal 4Q results and gave a substantial cut to FY25 guidance, indicating that the challenges it faces are more impactful than management had expected, the analysts say. They’re maintaining an outperform rating on the stock with the expectation Nike will eventually sort things out, but the analysts imagine shares will “stay in the proverbial penalty box,” until new product innovations come to bear and management regains some investor trust. Nike plunges 18%.

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Nike Problems ‘More Impactful’ Than Expected Amid Full-Year Revenue Guidance Cut, Wedbush Says

The challenges facing Nike (NKE) are “clearly more impactful” than previously expected as the company lowered its full-year revenue outlook following a fiscal fourth-quarter sales miss, Wedbush Securities said Friday. The athletic footwear and apparel maker now anticipates a mid-single-digit percentage revenue decline in fiscal 2025, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said during a late Thursday earnings conference call. The company previously expected annual growth. Friend told analysts that sales are expected to decline by high-single digits in the first half of the ongoing fiscal year, versus previous projections for a low-single-digit decrease. “We have been navigating several headwinds, which we now expect to have a more pronounced impact on fiscal 2025,” Friend said on the call. “Although the next few quarters will be challenging, we are confident that we are repositioning Nike to be more competitive with a more balanced portfolio to drive sustainable, profitable long-term growth.” For the

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Nike Delivered Q4 Sales Miss as Internal, External Headwinds Weigh, Wedbush Says

Nike’s (NKE) Q4 results were “very choppy” with the company missing its Q4 sales estimates and “meaningfully” cutting its fiscal 2025 guidance, Wedbush said in a note to clients on Friday. The company’s revenue fell to $12.61 billion for the three months ended May 31 from $12.83 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by Capital IQ expected $12.86 billion. Earnings rose to $0.99 per share from $0.66 a year earlier. Analysts expected $0.83. Wedbush cut Nike’s price target to $97 from $115, while keeping its outperform rating. The firm also cut Nike’s fiscal 2025 EPS forecast to $3.06 from $3.89 and the fiscal 2026 EPS estimate to $3.48 from $4.35. “We remain at outperform due to our expectation that [Nike] will eventually ‘figure it out,’ but our conviction in our thesis has certainly taken a hit,” said Wednesday analysts, including Tom Nikic. The analysts noted that Nike now expects fiscal

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Nike Sees Lower Sales in FY25 After Missing 4Q Plan

Nike said it now expects revenue to drop this fiscal year as it cut its outlook amid lower traffic trends and worsening macroeconomic conditions in China. Shares of the sneaker and apparel company fall 12%, to $83, in after-hours trading. The stock has declined 13% since the beginning of the year. Nike on Thursday said it no longer expects to report revenue growth for the fiscal year ending in May 2025, and guided for revenue to be down in the mid-single digits. Analysts polled by FactSet anticipate revenue growth of 1.4%, to $52.11 billion. The company, which had most recently guided for a drop in first-half revenue in the low-single digits, said it now anticipates a decline in the high-single digits. For the first quarter, Nike forecasts a drop in revenue of about 10%. Wall Street had forecast a drop of 2.8%, to $12.57 billion, in the quarter. Nike is

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Micron Has Tailwinds in Certain Memory Products, Rise of AI Devices

Micron Technology has some tailwinds in products including high bandwidth memory and expanding memory content from the rise of AI-powered devices but risks abound, analysts at BofA Securities say in a research note. Contributions from a HBM product in FY24 that are expected to increase in FY25, a return to normal cost down cadence helping gross margins expand and strong growth in AI servers and the rise of AI PCs/smartphones helping expand memory content are things they like for Micron. They see risks in Micron’s high sensitivity to the AI theme, which is subject to high expectations and volatility. Shares fall 6.1%, as 4Q guidance didn’t blow Wall Street away.

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Micron Fundamentals Progressing, Financials Expected to Improve

Micron Technology’s 4Q guidance didn’t meet lofty expectations, but continued strong progress and its fundamentals support a positive thesis, says Matt Bryson, analyst at Wedbush, in a research note. Bryson believes the memory-chip maker issued a forecast that understates likely price improvement and notes its positive commentary around high bandwidth memory products. “We see the continued strong progression in fundamentals as supporting our positive thesis and we expect financials… will continue to improve at an accelerated rate, for some time to come,” Bryson says.

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