Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) Stock price trend forecast and trading range:
Updated to: 2023.2.1
(Note: The upper red line in the picture is the resistance, and the lower red line is the support)
Analysis from stock chart
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Short-term trend: bullish
Sell high and buy low of range : $240 – $260
Support: $240 resistance: $260 Stop Loss Price: $240 price target: $260 Buy the position again: stop fall and rise to $240
Medium-term trend: bullish
High sell low buy range: $230 – $260
Support: $240 resistance: $260 Stop Loss price: $240 price target: $260 Buy the position again: stop fall and rise to $240
Long-term trend: bearish
High sell low buy of range: $220 – $280
Support : $220 resistance: $280 Stop Loss price: $220 price target : $280 Buy the position again: stop fall and rise to $220
From Analysis from financial statements:
Microsoft Posts Q2 EPS of $2.32 on Revenue of $52.7 Billion, vs CIQ Analyst Consensus of $2.31/Share on Revenue of $53.2 Billion.The market expects a further decline in revenue growth in Q3 of fiscal 2023, suggesting the best mid-term and long-term buying price around $210.
Historical Forecast Record:
2023.1.6 From the stock price chart analysis, the recent stock price has fallen below the previous support of $230, the signal of the stock price to stop falling in the short term is uncertain, the risk of the stock price continuing to fall is high, and short-term trading is not recommended. It is recommended to focus on the support of $212. If the support is effective, you can sell high and buy low in the short term between $215 and $230. From Analysis from financial statements,Q4 2022 achieved revenue of $51.865 billion, YoY+12.38%, net profit of $16.74 billion, YoY+1.71%, and EPS $2.23. Quarterly dividend of $0.67 per share. Raised quarterly dividend to $0.67. Sales growth slowed in Q4, but remained in double digits, and the value of long-term investment remained unchanged. The best medium-term and long-term bids are around $210.
2023.1.3 From the stock prices chart analysis of , today’s stock price opened high and then rapid rise followed by continuous decline, and the closing price was the same as the previous trading day. The recent stock price continues to be between $235-$260, and the current stock price is in the lower band of the range, which is a relatively safe selling high and buying low . Short-term trading suggests repeatedly selling high and buying low between $230-$248, with a stop loss price of $230. If the share price falls below $230, the stock price may enter a new volatility range. The probability of a short-term upward breakout of the stock price is low. The medium and long trading strategies maintain a small position with a target price above $260.
2022.12.23 From the stock chart analysis, the probability of the recent stock price continuing to maintain a range of $230-$260 is extremely high, short-term can be buy above $230, the target price of $250-$255. The midline buys $230 with a target price of $260. The recommended stop price is $230, and the stock price stops falling and recovers and closes above $230 to cover the position. If it falls below $230, the probability of the stock price testing $215 downwards rises sharply. The stock price as a whole maintains a large range of fluctuations, and long-term profit space is limited. Recommended positions up to 10%.
2022.9.20 From the technical chart, the recent stock price continues to fall, today’s stock price fell below the previous stage low, following the main index to fall together, temporarily do not see upside, the stock price may continue to bottom, it is recommended to focus on the next support level of $230, if it stabilizes, you can moderately take the anti-Bo space. The stock price fluctuation range was moved down to the range of $230-$260, and the stock price has fallen below the preset stop loss of 240 yuan, and short-term and medium-term recommendations are temporarily avoided. For the time being, there is no upside at the long-term level. Recommended position 10%.
2022.9.14 From the technical chart, the recent stock price continued to fall, once again came to the stage bottom area, the stock price as a whole maintained a range of $240-$290, there are short-term and medium-term opportunities, short-term and medium-term buying points backed by $250, stop loss $240, mid-term target price of $290, short-term target price of $270, or high selling and low suction. For the time being, there is no upside at the long-term level. Recommended position 10%.
2021.11.02 From the technical chart, the stock price is in an uptrend, it is recommended to hold long positions above the 20-day moving average for short-term trading, and long positions above the 60-day moving average for medium and long-term trading, the possibility of further strengthening is extremely high, and if it breaks through 330 yuan, it may challenge a new historical high. In the order of exits, short-term trading stock prices fell below the 20-day moving average and turned short, and medium and long-term trading fell below the 60-day moving average to turn short. From a fundamental point of view, the company’s new generation operating system Windows 11 is worth looking forward to, in addition, the company’s business continues to grow strongly, the company’s operating income increased by 17% year-on-year last year, and the growth trend logic this year remains unchanged.
2021.10.28 From the technical chart, the stock price is in an upward trend, it is recommended to hold long positions above the 20-day moving average for short-term trading, and long positions above the 60-day moving average for medium and long-term trading, the possibility of further strengthening is extremely high, and if it breaks through 320 yuan, it may challenge a new historical high. In the order of exits, short-term trading stock prices fell below the 20-day moving average and turned short, and medium and long-term trading fell below the 60-day moving average to turn short. From a fundamental point of view, the company’s new generation operating system Windows 11 is worth looking forward to, in addition, the company’s business continues to grow strongly, the company’s operating income increased by 17% year-on-year last year, and the growth trend logic this year remains unchanged.
2021.10.22 From the technical chart, the stock price is in an uptrend, it is recommended to hold long positions above the 20-day moving average for short-term trading, and long positions above the 60-day moving average for medium and long-term trading, the possibility of further strengthening is extremely high, and if it breaks through 320 yuan, it may challenge the record high. In the order of exits, short-term trading stock prices fell below the 20-day moving average and turned short, and medium and long-term trading fell below the 60-day moving average to turn short. From a fundamental point of view, the company’s new generation operating system Windows 11 is worth looking forward to, in addition, the company’s business continues to grow strongly, the company’s operating income increased by 17% year-on-year last year, and the growth trend logic this year remains unchanged.
2021.9.15 From the technical chart, the upward trend is still the same, and there is no obvious selling. If the stock price falls below the 40-day moving average, pay attention to the risk of pullback, and you can hold it for a long time before it falls below. From a fundamental point of view, the company’s new generation operating system Windows 11 is worth looking forward to, in addition, the company’s business continues to grow strongly, the company’s operating income increased by 17% year-on-year last year, and the growth trend logic this year remains unchanged.
Key Quote Data:
52 Week Range: 212.82-313.05
P/E Ratio(TTM): 28.08
EPS(TTM): $8.99
Market Cap: $1,880 B
Beta:0.92
Numbers of employees: 221000 historical data 18100
Summary of recent financial statements
January 24, 2023 Microsoft Corp. today announced the following results for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, as compared to the corresponding period of last fiscal year:
Revenue was $52.7 billion and increased 2%。
Operating income was $20.4 billion GAAP and $21.6 billion non-GAAP, and decreased 8% and 3%, respectively。
Net income was $16.4 billion GAAP and $17.4 billion non-GAAP, and decreased 12% and 7%, respectively。
Diluted earnings per share was $2.20 GAAP and $2.32 non-GAAP, and decreased 11% and 6%, respectively。
Business Highlights
Revenue in Productivity and Business Processes was $17.0 billion and increased 7% (up 13% in constant currency)。
Revenue in Intelligent Cloud was $21.5 billion and increased 18% (up 24% in constant currency)。
Revenue in More Personal Computing was $14.2 billion and decreased 19% (down 16% in constant currency)。
Microsoft returned $9.7 billion to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends in the second quarter of fiscal year 2023, a decrease of 11% compared to the second quarter of fiscal year 2022.
Microsoft Posts Q2 EPS of $2.32 on Revenue of $52.7 Billion, vs CIQ Analyst Consensus of $2.31/Share on Revenue of $53.2 Billion.
Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) INCOME STATEMENTS
INCOME STATEMENTS
About Microsoft
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business; Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions.