JPMorgan economists believe that U.S. stocks have solved their troubles before macro problems arise in 2023 and now seem increasingly attractive. While we don’t think the stock market has bottomed out, we do think that the risk-to-reward ratio has improved in 2023 given the decline in 2022. With quite a bit of bad news already digested, we believe the likelihood of further declines is more limited than it was at the beginning of 2022. Importantly, the probability of a rise in U.S. stocks by the end of next year has increased enough to be a base scenario.