CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
Our 12-month target price of $149, raised $1, reflects a 15x multiple of projected ’25 EPS, in line with UPS’s historical forward average. We cut our ’24 EPS estimate by $0.14 to $8.22, but raise ’25’s by $0.07 to $9.96. Q1 EPS of $1.43, vs. $2.20, beat consensus by $0.08. In UPS’s U.S. Domestic segment, average daily volumes fell 3.2% Y/Y, and revenues fell 5.0%, indicative in our view of ongoing (albeit modest) pricing pressure. We see a similar situation in the International segment, where average daily volumes dropped 5.8% Y/Y and revenues fell 6.3%. UPS maintains its ’24 revenue guidance of a range of $92.0B-$94.5B, which would suggest revenue growth in ’24 of 1%-4%, likely with an acceleration in 2H ’24. We think cost efforts will be key to UPS achieving higher earnings power, but likely bearing fruit in ’25, after a down year in ’24. We think a near-term volume recovery remains a bit elusive and is dependent on a broader macro recovery.