CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Spotify Technology S.a.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We raise our target by $83 to $325 using a forward P/E of 67.0x our ’24 earnings estimate, below the five-year historic average of 78.0x. We increase our 2024 EPS estimate to €4.85 from €2.40 and 2025’s to €6.30 from €3.95. SPOT posted Q1 2024 EPS of €0.97, a €0.32 earnings beat, driven by 20% Y/Y revenue growth (revenue in line with consensus) and significantly wider gross margins (27.6% vs. 25.2%). In Q1, total subscribers were 615M (+19% Y/Y), with premium subs at 239M (+14%) and lower priced ad-supported subs at 388M (+22%). By geography, Europe was 38% of total subscribers, North America (27%), Latin America (22%), and rest of world (13%), with strong growth in family and duo plans. On a sequential basis, SPOT’s Q2 guidance is 631M subscribers (+2.6%), premium subs at 285M (+19%), gross margins at 28.1% (+50 bps), and €250M operating income. Audio books and podcasts are added sources of growth. Spotify AUX is an in-house advisory agency for brands seeking to use music to enrich their ad campaigns.

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