UBS analyst Arcuri lowered his target price on Nvidia to $800 from $850 in the wake of the earnings, citing a potential slowing of revenue growth, although he kept a Buy rating on the stock. Arcuri said his new target price was based on a price-to-earnings multiple of 25 times the UBS forecast for Nvidia’s earnings in calendar year 2025.
“We were somewhat surprised that total supply… was actually down a touch Q/Q [quarter-on-quarter] and our analysis on the surface begs the conclusion that Nvidia may be approaching some sort of “steady state” in revenue over the coming quarters,” Arcuri wrote in a research note on Thursday.
With no additional increases in supply, Arcuri estimated that Nvidia can support revenue of around $27 billion a quarter, compared with $22.1 billion for the quarter ended January.