Consumer Staples

P&G Volume Growth Seen Offsetting Some Challenge

Procter & Gamble will most likely not benefit from an improvement in China and its personal health care category in its upcoming results, set to be the second consecutive quarter in which the consumer goods giant’s organic sales growth could be a bit softer than expected, Barclays analysts say in a research note. Still, Procter & Gamble continues to show significant volume growth and market share gains across most of its focus markets, including the U.S. and Western Europe, the analysts add. Barclays lowers its 3Q organic sales growth estimate by 60 basis points to 3%, but raises its recommendation on the stock to $168 from $165 previously. Shares fall 0.4% to $155.22.

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P&G Declares Dividend Increase

P&G Declares Dividend Increase April 09, 2024– The Board of Directors of The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) declared an increased quarterly dividend of $1.0065 per share on the Common Stock and on the Series A and Series B ESOP Convertible Class A Preferred Stock of the Company, payable on or after May 15, 2024 to Common Stock shareowners of record at the close of business on April 19, 2024, and to Series A and Series B ESOP Convertible Class A Preferred Stock shareowners of record at the start of business on April 19, 2024. This represents a seven percent increase compared to the prior quarterly dividend. This reinforces our commitment to return cash to shareowners, many of whom rely on the steady, reliable income earned with their investment in P&G. It marks the 68(th) consecutive year that P&G has increased its dividend and the 134(th) consecutive year that P&G

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PepsiCo’s Pending Inflection, Low Valuation Could Drive Stock Outperformance, Morgan Stanley Says

PepsiCo (PEP) is likely to report relatively in-line fiscal Q1 results and reiterate its fiscal 2024 guidance, but a “fundamental inflection” is expected in the rest of the year that could drive the stock to outperform, Morgan Stanley said Monday in a report. “We see Q1 [earnings per share] as the bottom fundamentally for the stock in our minds, and we are looking ahead to improving results in the balance of the year, as comparisons move from difficult to more benign, [short-term] pressure points dissipate, and sequential pricing deceleration dissipates,” the firm said. Morgan Stanley, which recently upgraded PepsiCo to overweight from equal-weight, also said the market has priced in too much risk following what looked like poor results particularly in Q4 of the previous fiscal year. Thus, valuation now looks “too low.” The firm said it expects the company’s organic sales growth bottoming at 2.3% in Q1 of the

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Procter & Gamble Expected to Post Soft Fiscal Q3 Sales Growth, Morgan Stanley Says

Procter & Gamble (PG) is expected to report soft fiscal Q3 organic sales growth of 3.4%, below the 3.8% consensus forecast due to China beauty category weakness and Middle East pressure, Morgan Stanley said in a note. The brokerage said, in a Sunday note, it expects a 2.4% earnings per share upside for the consumer goods producer, driven by a 116 basis points gross margin improvement. EPS for the quarter is expected to reach $1.44, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.41. EPS for the full year is forecasted at $6.45, Morgan Stanley added. The brokerage expects mixed segment results for the company, with a downside in Beauty operating segment growth at 0.8%, a 2% growth in Healthcare, and a growth of 5% each in the Grooming and Baby/Family care categories. Regionally, the brokerage forecasts a 4% growth in North America and a 14% increase in Latin America, countered by a

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PepsiCo Poised for ‘Depressed’ Quarterly Results, Organic Sales Acceleration in Rest of 2024, Morgan Stanley Says

PepsiCo (PEP) is likely to post “depressed” first-quarter results and reiterate its full-year outlook amid subdued expectations, though organic sales growth is projected to accelerate for the rest of the year, Morgan Stanley said in a note e-mailed Monday. The beverage and snacks company is scheduled to report March-quarter results on April 23. Morgan Stanley projects earnings at $1.51 per share and organic sales growth at 2.3%. Wall Street is looking for $1.52 and 2.5%, respectively, the brokerage said in a note. Morgan Stanley said the company could see “modest” upside to the firm’s and the Street’s organic sales outlooks, with the metric likely to see acceleration for the rest of the year as annual headwinds dissipate and comparisons ease. The brokerage expects the sequential pricing drop-off to ease in the second half of the year, while Quaker volumes are seen improving somewhat sequentially in the second quarter. “We think

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CFRA Retains Buy Rating On Shares Of The Procter & Gamble Company

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: We lift our 12-month target price by $6 to $175, 26.3x our next-12-month EPS of $6.67 vs. consensus’ $6.72. Our FY 2024 and FY 2025 EPS estimates are unchanged. The multiple is a premium to the five-year forward P/E average of 24x, which we think is warranted by wage trends running above inflation rates. We anticipate this dynamic to impede meaningful demand destruction as we see relatively safe staple demand compared to more discretionary items. We think PG’s margin performance, notably above its pre-pandemic levels, should provide levers to offset any turbulence if it develops. Our view reflects better volume performance in the coming two quarters, relative to the next two, and we see top-line performance surprising to the upside, which we think will lift margin performance.

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General Mills’ Stock Jumps Toward a 7-month High After Profit and Sales Beat Expectations, Outlook Affirmed

Shares of General Mills Inc. (GIS) jumped 3.2% toward a seven-month high in premarket trading Wednesday, after the consumer-foods company reported fiscal third-quarter profit that rose above expectations, as price increases and cost savings helped offset volume declines. Net income for the quarter to Feb. 25 rose to $670.1 million, or $1.17 a share, from $553.1 million, or 92 cents a share, in the same period a year ago. That beat the FactSet consensus for earnings per share of $1.05. Sales slipped 0.5% to $5.10 billion, but were above the FactSet consensus of $4.97 billion, as sales declined for its pet and international businesses, was flat for North America retail and edged up for North America foodservice. Gross margin improved by one percentage point to 33.5%. For the full fiscal year, the company affirmed its guidance ranges for adjusted EPS growth, excluding the impacts of currency translation, of 4% to

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PepsiCo Organic Sales Growth Likely to Bottom in Q1, Morgan Stanley Says in Upgrade

PepsiCo’s (PEP) organic sales growth is expected to bottom in Q1 and “rapidly inflect” in the rest of the year back to above consensus forecasts, as well as relative to peers, Morgan Stanley said Monday in a report. The brokerage upgraded its rating on the beverage and snacks company’s stock to overweight from equal-weight and named it as its top pick, both in beverages and overall. PepsiCo replaced Constellation Brands (STZ) as a top pick in beverages and Colgate-Palmolive (CL) as an overall top pick, Morgan Stanley said. Morgan Stanley said it had downgraded PepsiCo’s stock amid concern its valuation was “priced to perfection and consensus/PEP guidance on [organic sales growth] was clearly too high with an unrealistic volume rebound as pricing dissipated.” “Both of these issues have now played out,” the report said. Morgan Stanley’s price target on PepsiCo is $190. The company’s shares rose 3.9% in recent trading

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PepsiCo Gets an Upgrade. ‘We Would Be Aggressive Buyers,’ Analyst Says. — Barrons.com

By Angela Palumbo PepsiCo stock was rising Monday after a Morgan Stanley analyst upgraded shares of the beverage maker on the belief that it is a solid long-term investment with room for upside from here. Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian upgraded shares of PepsiCo to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $190 price target. Mohsenian also named Pepsi as his overall top stock pick. “We would be aggressive buyers here ahead of a powerful inflection in H2 [second half of the year] after PEP bottoms fundamentally in Q1,” Mohsenian wrote in a research note Monday. Shares of PepsiCo were rising 4% to $171.26 on Monday, which would be the stock’s largest percentage increase since Oct. 12, 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The stock has gained 0.9% this year. Shares of competitor Coca-Cola were up 0.6% while Mondelez International rose 1% and Conagra Brands gained 0.4%. The S&P 500

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P&G Seen Benefiting From Organic Volume Growth

Procter & Gamble will likely outperform its peers as a result of its improving volume numbers and a normalized macroeconomic environment, Truist Securities analysts say in a research note. The consumer goods giant’s return to volume growth in the latest quarter, excluding China, signals enterprise-level volume recovery in the coming quarters. “With minimal pricing expected in 2024, we believe investor focus has already turned to organic volume growth,” the analysts say. Truist raises the stock to buy from hold, and raises its target price to $175 from $160 previously.

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Kroger’s Earnings Are Coming. Merger Troubles Loom Large. — Barrons.com

By Evie Liu Kroger’s earnings report set for Thursday comes at a time when the largest grocery operator in the U.S. is trying to further consolidate its market share to compete with Walmart and Costco Wholesale. For the fourth quarter ended Feb. 3, Wall Street expects sales to grow by 6.4% from a year ago to $37 billion, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Earnings are estimated at $1.13 per share, up 14% from the year-ago period. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2023, sales were lower than a year ago for two consecutive quarters, even though prices of most goods in grocery stores have gone up. Grocers are facing a tough environment. Consumers are dialing back spending amid inflation, while big-box chains like Walmart and Costco have been gaining market share in food retail as they leverage their size for cheaper prices. Meanwhile, e-commerce competitors like Amazon.com have disrupted

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