Consumer Staples

CFRA Reiterates Strong Buy Opinion On Shares Of Pepsico, Inc.

We lower our 12-month target by $15 to $210, based on a 2025 P/E of 24x, versus its 5-year mean forward P/E of 24.4x. We raise our adjusted EPS estimates by $0.10 to $7.60 for ’23, by $0.05 to $8.10 for ’24, and introduce ’25 at $8.75. PEP posts Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.25 vs. $1.97 (+16%), well ahead of the $2.15 consensus. Net revenue rose 6.7% to $23.45B ($50M above consensus) on robust organic revenue growth of 9%. As detailed in our Thematic report, (Beverages: Have Price Increases Reached the Point of Demand Destruction?), aggressive price increases are beginning to hurt volumes, as PEP’s beverage volumes were flat and food/snack volumes fell 1.5%. PEP raised full year EPS guidance to $7.54 from $7.47, implying 11% growth from the $6.79 earned in ’22. Incredibly, PEP has posted a quarterly earnings miss only once since 2009. We think recent softness in […]

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General Mills Pet-Food Unit Back to Dragging on Results

General Mills’ pet-food business was an unexpected bright spot in the food maker’s otherwise dark fiscal 4Q, rebounding from several tough quarters before that, but fiscal 1Q has put the unit back in the dog house. The segment delivered flat sales as a 5% increase from pricing and mix was offset by a 5% drop in volumes. Sales of dry pet food were up in the mid-single digits, but roughly flat for wet food and down double-digits for pet treats. The segment’s operating profit was down 10% at $111M, primarily due to lower volume, higher input costs and higher overhead expenses.

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General Mills Sees More Challenges Ahead for Pet Business

General Mills says flat pet food sales in the most recent quarter reflect pet owners who are increasingly uncertain about their economic outlook. Some pet owners are shifting to more value-oriented products and channels and smaller pack-sizes. They are also spending more time away from home, pressuring sales of pet treats and wet food. General Mills says it is adapting its plans on pet food in response, including shifting its advertising to highlight the superiority of its ingredients and making sure it has the right sizes and prices in place. The company says it expects its pet business to remain challenged throughout FY24, though it is confident in growth opportunities for the business for the longterm.

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