Consumer Discretionary

Lululemon Starts Year Slow in the U.S., Wrong Leggings Focus

Lululemon’s performance in the U.S. dragged down the yoga maker’s results in the latest quarter, leading to what CEO Calvin McDonald calls a slower start to the year. Several internal factors hit Lululemon’s results, including a missed opportunity in women’s and bags, which the company’s actively addressing, McDonald says. Operating in a choppy U.S. consumer environment didn’t help, McDonald says. When looking at women’s, the company should have stopped focusing as much in leggings. These comments come as competitors Alo Yoga and Vuori focus on wide-leg bottoms that come with pockets. Shares rise 11% to $341.52 after hours.

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CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Costco Wholesale Corporation

We lift our target price to $846 from $770, 47x our FY 25 (Aug.) EPS of $18.01 (up from $17.32; FY 24 up to $16.42 from $16.04) vs. 38x five-year mean. COST posted a solid F3Q revenue/EPS beat, with traffic/average ticket up and renewal rates in U.S./Canada now at ~93%. COST saw positive comps in many nonfoods categories, a stark contrast to many other retailers, which we attribute to COST’s higher-income customer base and unmatched merchandising strategy. While we maintain a Hold on valuation concerns, we believe COST’s premium valuation can hold given 1) plenty of club unit growth (~25-30 per year; mostly in U.S., but also journey in China is just starting); 2) untapped opportunities in alternative revenue streams (e.g., retail media); and 3) a looming membership fee increase (likely within the next 12 months). With COST now with a new CEO and CFO, we think more focus will

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Lululemon Fiscal First-Quarter Earnings May Miss Views, Oppenheimer Says

Lululemon Athletica (LULU) may miss fiscal first-quarter earnings expectations on Wednesday, though trends have stabilized and the stock has already absorbed much of the near-term impact, according to Oppenheimer. The brokerage on Tuesday reiterated its earnings per share target of $2.35 that suggests a 3% year-over-year gain from $2.28 the year earlier. Wall Street is expecting EPS of $2.40, while Lululemon’s guidance ranges from $2.35 to $2.40, the report showed. Oppenheimer is modeling for net revenue growth of 9.8% for the April quarter, which is below the consensus view’s 9.9% growth rate but toward the upper-end of management’s 9% to 10% guidance. “While we do not expect an ‘all-clear’-type report from (Lululemon), we do anticipate signals suggesting that trends at the brand have largely stabilized, lately,” a group of Oppenheimer analysts including Brian Nagel said in a report. Lululemon’s “subdued initial” fiscal 2024 top-line growth guidance of 11% to 12%,

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Lululemon Athletica Recovering From Merchandising Missteps, Says Analyst

Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) with a price target of $445.00. The analyst’s EPS forecast of $2.35 remains unchanged and suggests a gain of 3% from $2.28 the prior year, compared with a Street figure of $2.40. For FY24, the analyst continues to expect EPS of $14.01 versus a current consensus forecast of $14.13 and guidance for $14.00-14.20. Since the day LULU reported fourth-quarter results, shares are down more than 35% and underperforming meaningfully a decline of just 1% in the S&P 500, noted the analyst. At current levels, LULU trades at a forward four quarter PE multiple of just 21x, marking the lowest level since May 2017, said the analyst. The analyst looks upon recent merchandising missteps at LULU as not necessarily unprecedented and likely fixable, nearer-term. The analyst also highlighted the latest expanded assortments of fresh colors

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CFRA Keeps Buy Rating On Shares Of Spotify Technology S.a.

We up our target $30 to $355 on a forward TEV/EBITDA of 42.1x our 2025 EBITDA estimate at EURO1.7B, a premium to SPOT’s peer group. In our opinion, SPOT does not have any competitors in music entertainment that can match its world class platform for streaming to a growing membership of 615M (+13.5M net adds in Q1). We are confident that SPOT can grow profitably with higher unit volumes and widening margins. We like the music streaming market’s attractive growth and stability vs. the disruption seen in video streaming. SPOT is executing its strategy of realizing higher MAU and revenue growth, while also growing earnings. We keep our 2024 EPS view at EURO4.85 and 2025’s at EURO6.30; our respective revenue forecasts are EURO15.8B and EURO18.0B. We think content costs/investments are likely to remain elevated, offset by higher revenue. SPOT has room to grow in developing countries and deeper penetration of

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Spotify Raises Premium Prices For Second Time in a Year

Spotify Technology (SPOT) on Monday announced plans to raise its premium subscription prices for the second time in about 12 months. The company’s individual plan was lifted by a dollar to $11.99 after the audio streamer in July 2023 raised the price to $10.99. The new price will be reflected in US subscriber bills beginning next month, according to Spotify. The company is raising prices so that it can continue to “invest in and innovate on” product features, according to a picture of an email that will be sent to subscribers. Prices were raised to $16.99 from $14.99 for Premium Duo and to $19.99 from $16.99 for the family plan. The cost for students will remain at $5.99. In April, Spotify swung to a larger-than-expected first-quarter profit on a 20% jump in revenue that also surpassed analyst views. Premium revenue climbed 20% in the March quarter, led by 14% subscriber

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Spotify Really Tests Its Pricing Power

By Dan Gallagher Spotify gave investors the price hike they were looking for. Its also betting big that its subscribers wont tune out. The music streamer announced its latest round of price increases for its U.S. plans on Monday. Investors have been banking on such a move all yearespecially since the companys first-quarter report in April, where CEO Daniel Ek confirmed such a move was coming. Spotifys shares jumped more than 4% Monday morning, building on a 9% gain since the last earnings report. The stock is now up 65% for the year, far exceeding the gains of any other streaming provider. Netflix is up 31% for the year, by comparison. But Spotify has long been in the uncomfortable position of competing not with other streamers, but with tech giants like Apple and Amazon that can use music streaming as a loss leader to keep users tied into their ecosystems.

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Costco 3Q Profit Rises on E-Commerce Strength

By Ben Glickman Costco’s profit rose ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in the third quarter as the company’s surging online sales buoyed results. The wholesale retailer reported a profit of $1.68 billion, or $3.78 a share, in the 12 weeks ended May 12, compared with a profit of $1.3 billion, or $2.93 a share, a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a per-share profit of $3.70. Revenue rose 9.1%, to $58.52 billion, beating the $58.02 billion expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Same-store sales were up 6.6% for the period, compared with the 6% expected by Wall Street analysts. Canada and other international stores posted a higher jump in comparable sales than U.S. stores. E-commerce comparable sales were up about 21% from a year earlier. Write to Ben Glickman at ben.glickman@wsj.com

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Costco Beats Profit and Sales Forecasts, but Stock Pulls Back From Record Highs

By Tomi Kilgore and Claudia Assis Same-store sales increased the most in five quarters, and beat expectations for an 11th straight quarter Costco Wholesale Corp. reported fiscal third-quarter profit, revenue and same-store sales that all beat Wall Street forecasts, but shares of the membership-based warehouse retailer pulled back from a record high. The stock (COST) slipped 0.9% in Thursday’s after-hours session, after closing the regular session up 1.1% at a record $815.34. Net income for the quarter to May 12 rose to $1.68 billion, or $3.78 a share, from $1.30 billion, or $2.93 a share, in the same period a year ago. That beat the FactSet consensus for earnings per share of $3.70. Total revenue grew 9.1% to $58.52 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $58.02 billion, as net sales increased 9.1% to $57.39 billion and membership fees were up 7.6% to $1.12 billion. Comparable sales, or sales from stores

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Costco’s Kirkland Walking Shoes, Lemon-Blueberry Loaf Are Big Sellers

Costco’s customers looking for value are increasingly opting for cheaper private-label branded products. CFO Gary Millerchip says on a call with analysts that when the company cannot reduce prices for customers, it looks to provide Kirkland Signature items with at least 20% value compared to national brand items. Millerchip says the new men’s walking shoe and facial wipes are already doing quite well, and the company has cut prices on Kirkland pine nuts and frozen shrimp skewers. The company’s new Kirkland Signature lemon blueberry loaf and morning buns also sold well.

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Costco’s Ground Beef, Wagyu Steaks Both Selling Well

Costco shoppers at both ends of the income range are beefing up their purchases. CEO Ron Vachris says on a call with analysts that it’s a healthy environment for all types of shoppers given the company’s value at all price levels. In the meat department, lots of volume is driven by ground beef and boneless, skinless chicken breasts, Vachris says. Meanwhile, wagyu and prime beef offerings are also growing.

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