Consumer Discretionary

Nike Sell-Off Isn’t Looking Like Buy-the-Dip Moment

Investors probably aren’t looking at Nike’s dramatic sell-off as a “buy the pullback” moment, Wedbush analysts Tom Nikic and Matt Quigley say in a research note. The drop to a multiyear low comes after the shoes and apparel maker reported disappointing fiscal 4Q results and gave a substantial cut to FY25 guidance, indicating that the challenges it faces are more impactful than management had expected, the analysts say. They’re maintaining an outperform rating on the stock with the expectation Nike will eventually sort things out, but the analysts imagine shares will “stay in the proverbial penalty box,” until new product innovations come to bear and management regains some investor trust. Nike plunges 18%.

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Nike Problems ‘More Impactful’ Than Expected Amid Full-Year Revenue Guidance Cut, Wedbush Says

The challenges facing Nike (NKE) are “clearly more impactful” than previously expected as the company lowered its full-year revenue outlook following a fiscal fourth-quarter sales miss, Wedbush Securities said Friday. The athletic footwear and apparel maker now anticipates a mid-single-digit percentage revenue decline in fiscal 2025, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said during a late Thursday earnings conference call. The company previously expected annual growth. Friend told analysts that sales are expected to decline by high-single digits in the first half of the ongoing fiscal year, versus previous projections for a low-single-digit decrease. “We have been navigating several headwinds, which we now expect to have a more pronounced impact on fiscal 2025,” Friend said on the call. “Although the next few quarters will be challenging, we are confident that we are repositioning Nike to be more competitive with a more balanced portfolio to drive sustainable, profitable long-term growth.” For the

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Nike Delivered Q4 Sales Miss as Internal, External Headwinds Weigh, Wedbush Says

Nike’s (NKE) Q4 results were “very choppy” with the company missing its Q4 sales estimates and “meaningfully” cutting its fiscal 2025 guidance, Wedbush said in a note to clients on Friday. The company’s revenue fell to $12.61 billion for the three months ended May 31 from $12.83 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by Capital IQ expected $12.86 billion. Earnings rose to $0.99 per share from $0.66 a year earlier. Analysts expected $0.83. Wedbush cut Nike’s price target to $97 from $115, while keeping its outperform rating. The firm also cut Nike’s fiscal 2025 EPS forecast to $3.06 from $3.89 and the fiscal 2026 EPS estimate to $3.48 from $4.35. “We remain at outperform due to our expectation that [Nike] will eventually ‘figure it out,’ but our conviction in our thesis has certainly taken a hit,” said Wednesday analysts, including Tom Nikic. The analysts noted that Nike now expects fiscal

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Nike Sees Lower Sales in FY25 After Missing 4Q Plan

Nike said it now expects revenue to drop this fiscal year as it cut its outlook amid lower traffic trends and worsening macroeconomic conditions in China. Shares of the sneaker and apparel company fall 12%, to $83, in after-hours trading. The stock has declined 13% since the beginning of the year. Nike on Thursday said it no longer expects to report revenue growth for the fiscal year ending in May 2025, and guided for revenue to be down in the mid-single digits. Analysts polled by FactSet anticipate revenue growth of 1.4%, to $52.11 billion. The company, which had most recently guided for a drop in first-half revenue in the low-single digits, said it now anticipates a decline in the high-single digits. For the first quarter, Nike forecasts a drop in revenue of about 10%. Wall Street had forecast a drop of 2.8%, to $12.57 billion, in the quarter. Nike is

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Nike Reports Results Later

After market close Thursday, Nike is expected to report that sales grew 1% for the full yearits worst results in more than two decades excluding the first year of the pandemic and the 2008-09 financial crisis. Ahead of Nike’s results, The Wall Street Journal has taken a detailed look at how the company lost ground in the critical running categorydig in here. And here’s a rundown of some other key financial data points, based on consensus estimates compiled by FactSet: — For the most recent financial year, Nike is expected to report net income jumped 8.6% to $5.51 billion. — That translates into a 14% bounce in adjusted earnings per share, which are seen hitting $3.70. — For the most recent quarter, analysts expect about $1.29 billion of profit, on revenue of $12.86 billion.

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Tesla Q2 Vehicle Deliveries Seen Trailing Consensus, UBS Says

Tesla’s (TSLA) Q2 vehicle deliveries may trail market consensus by 5.5%, partly because of a “tough quarter” in Europe, UBS Securities said Monday in a report. The investment firm lowered its forecast for Q2 to 420,000 units from 471,000 units. The latest projection lags behind the Visible Alpha consensus of 445,000 units and pegs deliveries down 10% from a year earlier and up 9% from Q1. Tesla’s 0.99% financing option on the Model Y likely helped boost US sales in Q2, while industry data in China pointed to a 2% increase in the company’s domestic retail deliveries in April-May from the previous quarter and a 5% jump from a year earlier, UBS said. After the release of Q2 delivery figures, UBS said the focus shifts to earnings and then to the company’s AI robotaxi on Aug. 8. Tesla “may be entering another phase where the stock price disconnects from the

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Tesla Delivery Results Are Coming. Brace For More Bad News.

Tesla is slated to report second-quarter deliveries in just over a week. Wall Street estimates look too high, creating a risk for its stock. The electric-vehicle maker typically reports global quarterly delivery numbers on the second day of a new quarter. For the second quarter, Wall Street expects just under 450,000 units, according to FactSet — about 4% lower compared with the 466,000 units delivered in the second quarter of 2023. The 450,000 figure, however, looks too high. Recent estimates have been closer to 415,000 units. On Sunday, a Tesla delivery researcher using the pseudonym Troy Teslike published his updated second-quarter estimate. He’s looking for 416,000 cars. To project results Teslike aggregates registration data in the U.S. and sales data from Europe, among other things. His estimates are widely followed on social-media site X and used by many Wall Street analysts when checking their own delivery estimates. The 416,000 figure

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Tesla Stock Is Falling. The AI Robotaxi Business Won’t Be Easy, Analyst Says.

A Tesla robotaxi business might not be quite as good for the electric-vehicle maker as investors expect, an analyst noted. Thursday, RBC analyst Tom Narayan cut his Tesla stock price target to $227 from $293 while keeping his Buy rating. He’s adjusted his robotaxi math. Tesla stock was down 1.5% in early trading at $1821.2, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were both up about 0.3% Tesla hosts a robotaxi event on Aug. 8. Investors expect to see what a Tesla robotaxi will look like. They will also expect to hear what progress Tesla is making with its artificial-intelligence-trained self-driving software. Tesla sells advanced-driver-assistance systems today, but Teslas don’t truly drive themselves. CEO Elon Musk believes that creating a truly self-driving car would represent an incredible financial windfall for the company. If it happens, Tesla could operate an Uber Technologies-like fleet of self-driving cars. It could also offer an

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Nike Stock Is a Buy. The ‘Last Bad’ Earnings Report Is Coming, Says Analyst. — Barrons.com

Nike’s stock hasn’t been a winning bet for the better part of the past three years. One analyst thinks the company’s losing streak could soon be coming to an end as product innovation ramps up. Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel upgraded Nike shares to Outperform from Perform Friday, and lifted his price target to $120 from $110. Nagel also reinstated Nike as a top megacap pick across his coverage. Nike shares are 11% lower this year, and have shed 38% over the past three years. There are a lot of reasons investors have been downbeat on the stock, including slower sales growth in China, a sluggish innovation cycle, rising competition, and cooling consumer spending in the U.S. Those challenges persist for Nike, Nagel acknowledged, but he believes the company’s turnaround efforts will start panning out in the next few quarters. And with shares trading at a roughly 25% discount to their

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McDonald’s to Overcome Sales Pressures With Strategic Value Focus, UBS Says

McDonald’s (MCD) faces US sales pressures and value perception concerns but is positioned for improvement in H2 and 2025, UBS said in a note Friday. McDonald’s can improve its pressured value perceptions with a renewed value focus, its scale and marketing advantages, strong core value attributes, and a history of solid performance during periods of heavy discounting, UBS said, adding that the company’s competitive advantages in digital, store remodels, marketing, and operations will continue to drive sales. The investment firm said that franchisee discussions and historical value analysis support its view that “multiple value-focused initiatives,” along with marketing and new product rollouts in the coming quarters should lead to a “positive inflection in US sales trends.” UBS lowered its US same-store sales estimates for the next few quarters due to challenges faced by the quick-service restaurant industry and feedback from franchisees but expects trends to improve sequentially through the year,

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Tesla Stock Is Soaring, but They Won’t Top This Level

Tesla stock is soaring while the Nasdaq Composite naps. Investors looking for a reason should look back to Wednesday. Tesla stock was up 4% in midday trading at $184.28 while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were both up about 0.1%. There aren’t any upgrades or downgrades to focus on. CEO Elon Musk hasn’t tweeted out anything noteworthy. That means the pay package is still the main reason responsible for Monday’s move. This past week, shareholders re-approved Musk’s 2018 pay package, awarding the CEO some 300 million incentive-laden stock options. They had to vote again because a Delaware judge voided the deal in January, citing inadequate disclosures to investors. Musk tweeted the result on Wednesday evening. Tesla disclosed full details Friday about the vote, which showed about 72% support for approving the award. The original proposal in 2018 passed with 73% support. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called the pay vote

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